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Model & Targets
Break-even points
Cash break-even covers OPEX, fund G&A, interest, scheduled amortisation and the management fee in year 1, drydock excluded. Target TCEs solve the full multi-year model by bisection.
Traction diagnosis (reported figures)
Annual distribution yield vs 8β12% target band
Annual projection
Sensitivity
Charter income against OPEX is the core engine of this fund. Move the sliders on the Model tab and every chart here updates.
Net IRR across charter rates, three OPEX levels
Dashed line marks the 15% target. The gap between the OPEX curves shows how much charter rate each 10% OPEX overrun consumes.
Tornado: net IRR swing from each driver
TCE and OPEX Β±10%, exit value path Β±2pp a year, interest Β±150bp, on-hire Β±10 days, entry price Β±10%.
Heatmap: net IRR by TCE (rows) and OPEX (columns)
Green meets the 15% target. Amber sits within 5pp of it. Red is more than 5pp short. The outlined cell is the current base case.
Heatmap: average distribution yield by TCE and OPEX
Green lands in or above the 8β12% band. Amber is 5β8%. Red is under 5%.
Stress scenarios
Each scenario applies shocks on top of the current inputs. Load one into the model to inspect its year-by-year projection.
Scenario comparison
Market-value LTV path against the 50% leverage limit
Measured before any forced prepayment. Crossing the line triggers a cash sweep in this model, which cuts distributions.
Distributions per scenario (US$m)
Shock definitions
Risk management playbook by scenario level
Each level carries measurable triggers, the fund-level consequence, and the actions an asset manager owns. Thresholds are proposals for the investment committee to ratify.
Stakeholder QBR checklist
The core list runs every quarter. Scenario add-ons switch on when the live model or market indicators cross the triggers in the risk playbook. Ticks are saved on this device and travel with πΎ Save All Data.
Presenting performance to investors and the board
The deck sequence, the appendix definitions and the scenario explainers are yours to edit. Lines marked βLiveβ also show the figure from the current model.